With images of rain and Oscar covered in plastic dominating the news this weeekend, now is as good of time as any to dust off “the show must go on” adage and get down to the awards. I’m not great at predictions, I tend to think of my best work as seeing successful results early on and riding that call for as long as possible. For example, predicting Robert Griffin III as the Heisman Trophy winner before Labor Day of 2011. But, movies are different. I happened to love the remarkably iconic There Will Be Blood only to see a solid No Country for Old Men win Best Picture years ago. I tend to make predictions more with my heart than with simple logic which seems to get me in trouble. So, here goes nothing, emphasis on nothing.
I like Cate Blanchett, her remarkable grace shines through and I, along with most people, expect her to win the Best Actress award even with the Woody Allen controversy in the news. Personally, I am also rooting for Amy Adams. She started at the Chanhassen Dinner Theater and another early recollection I have of her is from a now painfully dated episode of Smallville in which she played a high school student dealing with a body image crisis. Adams was amazing in American Hustle but Blanchett will win; it is just her time.
This will be a tight race I am certain. Bruce Dern was exceptional in Nebraska and will be the sentimental favorite. Christian Bale is a tremendous transformative actor, going from trim and chiseled in American Psycho to bloated in 2013 for his role in American Hustle with many changes in between. ( I mean, did you know he played Batman?) Interestingly, he is always intense and transfixing in each movie I have seen him in, always bringing his fastball. Bale has one Academy Award for his work in The Fighter. Leonardo Dicaprio is nominated for his work in the gloriously outlandish The Wolf of Wall Street. Chiwetel Ejiofor is an impressive , incredible class act of a man and a superb actor and his performance in 12 Years a Slave is amazing. I’m rooting for Ejiofor but if he doesn’t win, Matthew Mccconaughey will make everyone in the world forget about Fool’s Gold in 2008 and win his first Best Actor for his superb performance in Dallas Buyers Club. Well, everyone who actually paid money to see that film at their local cinema house. But hey, we all make mistakes.
Best Supporting Actor
Michael Fassbender and Bradley Cooper are skilled actors and disgustingly handsome men but they won’t win sadly. Jared Leto, Christian Bale’s co-star in American Psycho, will win for his powerful role in Dallas Buyers Club. Leto is an amazingly multi-faceted talent and he is the lead singer for the band 30 seconds to Mars and no ill will toward Keanu Reeves or Johnny Depp, but if there were a psuedo-credible award for best actor/rocker, it would be Leto hands down.
Best Supporting Actress:
Even though Jennifer Lawrence won last year for her awesome role Silver Linings Playbook, I will be rooting for this spellbinding and exquisite actress to add another Oscar to her mantle, shelf, or whatever room she uses to display her dazzling awards. The elegant Julia Roberts is nominated and many have considered her to be the favorite for the Award. But, believe well-deserving newcomer Lupita Nyong’o will be the winner on Sunday night for her role in 12 Years a Slave.